Friday, August 14, 2009
Money Management and Risk Management
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
EUR/USD Slumps on Worsening Consumer Confidence
EUR/USD is currently posting a biggest daily drop since July 10th as the consumer confidence report for July along with the housing data for May cut the traders’ hopes for the fast economical recovery and boosted the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar in the Forex market. EUR/USD is now trading near 1.4173.
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index for 20 U.S. states was at a seasonally adjusted level of 140.05 in May — that’s a 17.05% drop compared to a year before. A decline by 17.90% was expected following an 18.10% drop in April.
Consumer confidence decreased from 49.3 in June to 46.6 in July in United States. It was a rather unexpected drop (forecasts pointed at a decline only to 49.0).
On the good side, yesterday, a report on the June’s new home salesshowed a growth from 346k to 384k annualized seasonally adjusted rate. That report surpassed the optimistic forecast of gain to 355k rate.
Do You Trade Anything Else Except Forex?
I think that the Forex market offers a lot of advantages compared to the other types of financial trading. Currency pairs offer a variety of choices, events to react on and the technical analysis is simply beautiful in Forex. But I also like to trade in other markets. Because many Forex brokers also offer gold and oil, I sometimes like to set up long-term positions on these instruments. I also have some portfolio in stocks, but it can hardly be called a real trading because I only trade like once in 3-6 months in stocks. What about you? Do you trade in anything else than currency pairs?
GBP/USD Chart Patter — July 26th 2009
This time I once again show only one Forex chart pattern that I’ve detected during the last trading week. It’s GBP/USD ascending triangle with a small downward slope. This is a bullish continuation figure and I recommend expecting an upward breakout, which can happen in a week or two. Click on the image to get the full-size chart screenshot:
Forex Technical Analysis for 07/27—07/31 Week
EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: buy.
EUR/JPY trend: sell.
Floor Pivot Points | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pair | 3rd Sup | 2nd Sup | 1st Sup | Pivot | 1st Res | 2nd Res | 3rd Res |
EUR/USD | 1.3927 | 1.4018 | 1.4109 | 1.4200 | 1.4291 | 1.4382 | 1.4473 |
GBP/USD | 1.6013 | 1.6161 | 1.6289 | 1.6437 | 1.6565 | 1.6713 | 1.6841 |
USD/JPY | 91.28 | 92.18 | 93.48 | 94.38 | 95.69 | 96.59 | 97.89 |
EUR/JPY | 129.06 | 130.57 | 132.59 | 134.10 | 136.12 | 137.63 | 139.65 |
Woodie’s Pivot Points | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pair | 2nd Sup | 1st Sup | Pivot | 1st Res | 2nd Res |
EUR/USD | 1.4018 | 1.4110 | 1.4200 | 1.4292 | 1.4382 |
GBP/USD | 1.6156 | 1.6279 | 1.6432 | 1.6555 | 1.6708 |
USD/JPY | 92.28 | 93.68 | 94.48 | 95.89 | 96.69 |
EUR/JPY | 130.70 | 132.84 | 134.23 | 136.37 | 137.76 |
Camarilla Pivot Points | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pair | 4th Sup | 3rd Sup | 2nd Sup | 1st Sup | 1st Res | 2nd Res | 3rd Res | 4th Res |
EUR/USD | 1.4101 | 1.4151 | 1.4167 | 1.4184 | 1.4217 | 1.4234 | 1.4251 | 1.4301 |
GBP/USD | 1.6265 | 1.6341 | 1.6366 | 1.6392 | 1.6442 | 1.6467 | 1.6493 | 1.6569 |
USD/JPY | 93.57 | 94.18 | 94.38 | 94.58 | 94.99 | 95.19 | 95.39 | 96.00 |
EUR/JPY | 132.67 | 133.64 | 133.96 | 134.29 | 134.93 | 135.26 | 135.58 | 136.55 |
Fibonacci Retracement Levels | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Pairs | EUR/USD | GBP/USD | USD/JPY | EUR/JPY |
100.0% | 1.4291 | 1.6585 | 95.29 | 135.61 |
61.8% | 1.4221 | 1.6480 | 94.44 | 134.26 |
50.0% | 1.4200 | 1.6447 | 94.18 | 133.84 |
38.2% | 1.4178 | 1.6414 | 93.92 | 133.43 |
23.6% | 1.4152 | 1.6374 | 93.60 | 132.91 |
0.0% | 1.4109 | 1.6309 | 93.08 | 132.08 |